Game 23 Preview: Bucks vs. Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers (Phil Jackson) 19-4

(Likely) Inactives: Luke Walton

at

Milwaukee Bucks (Scott Skiles) 11-11

(Likely) Inactives: Joe Alexander, Francisco Elson and Jodie Meeks

Date: 12/16/2009

Time: 7:00 (CST)

TV: FS Wisconsin

Match-Ups

Point Guard

Brandon Jennings vs. Derek Fisher

Fisher is a stat-head’s nightmare.  His PER is under ten.  He is shooting 30 percent from three and less than 40 percent from the field.  He’s basically been living off “veteran ingenuity” for two or three years.  But he’s also the starting point guard on the best team in the NBA, so how bad could he really be?  I’m torn on Fisher and have been for a few years.  Maybe he’s one of the players that these new fanged stats can’t properly asses, I mean they already appear biased towards power forwards and centers.  Perhaps Fisher’s game is still good, but just in unmeasurable ways.  But then I think … nah, he sucks.  And that usually wins the argument in my head.

Advantage: Bucks

Shooting Guard

Carlos Delfino vs. Kobe Bryant

What is there to be said about Bryant that hasn’t already been said?  He’s incredible and added post moves to his already vast repertoire of shots before this season.  Playing with a broken finger Tuesday night, Bryant poured in 42 against a relatively decent Chicago defense.  I guess it’s just all in a day’s work for Kobe.  What’s absurd is that with all the talent around him now he’s willing to give the ball up and let other people make plays.  How can he even be game planned for at this point?

Advantage: Lakers

Small Forward

Luc Richard Mbah a Moute vs. Ron Artest

If you’ve heard Ron Artest can no longer play defense, don’t believe it.  He’s still a capable defender and can knock guys around.  No, he can’t lock up the quickest players in the league like he once could, but Artest is very good at using his size to muscle up perimeter players and prevent them from getting where they want to get on the court.  In his younger days, Artest wasn’t all that different from LRMAM.  Except Artest was more advanced offensively and that whole drinking before games thing.  I can vouch for LRMAM that Hennessy isn’t apart of his pre-game preparation.

Advantage: Lakers

Power Forward

Ersan Ilyasova vs. Pau Gasol

Have the Lakers lost since Gasol’s return?  Ah, two games ago at Utah the Lakers dropped one .. when Gasol had 16/20.  He’s grabbed 56 rebounds over his last three games.  Gasol and Kobe are dream teammates.  Gasol doesn’t need the ball all the time, is a willing passer and dominating rebounder.  He can do immense damage for most of the game and then let Kobe do his thing when Kobe decides to do it.  Last year the Bucks ran LRMAM at Gasol a few times and Gasol introduced him to some post moves it looked like LRMAM had never seen before.  Ilyasova is more experienced in this department, but still seems unlikely to have much success stopping one of the best post players in the game right now.

Advantage: Lakers

Center

Andrew Bogut vs. Andrew Bynum

A match-up of two of the best young centers in the game right now.  Bynum has been more aggressive than ever this year, and while his shots have tailed off a bit since Gasol’s return, he’s still a very legitimate low post scorer.  He’s averaging more points per game than Bogut on two fewer shots a night.  And he’s doing that as the Lakers third (and sometimes fourth) option.   What makes Bogut a little more relevant in the grand scheme of things is his defense.  A lot of centers are credited with being better shot blockers than Bogut, and I’ve heard Bynum lumped into that group, well Bogut’s averaging more blocks and has drawn more charges.  It seems like Bogut’s ability to draw charges makes everyone think he never blocks a shot.  He’s good at both!  On top of that he controls the defense in a way Bynum doesn’t need to and might never.

Advantage: Bucks

Bench

Luke Ridnour, Hakim Warrick, Michael Redd, and Kurt Thomas

vs.

Lamar Odom, Sasha Vujacic, Jordan Farmar and Shannon Brown

The Lakers have pretty much cut it down to a three man bench of late with Odom, Farmar and Brown getting the minutes.  When they bring in Odom at the three they’re unguardable.  The size difference is absurd and the passing skill of Odom and Gasol makes the offense capable of things other coaches can only dream about.   Brown and Farmar are both athletic attackers who can occasionally hit a three, Farmar more so than Brown.  The Lakers are doing their best to get Brown in the dunk contest, kind of like the Bucks did with Joe Alexander last year.  Something tells me L.A. will have more success.  Look for Redd to come off the bench again and look for him to have a little more success after a couple of practices.  We should be seeing what Mike Redd really is in the next couple weeks.  That’ll be interesting.

Advantage: Lakers

Prediction: Lakers 105 – Bucks 94

Let’s call this game what it is: a mis-match.  The Lakers are too good for anyone but possibly the other top five teams in the league.  The quicker this one is over, the quicker the Bucks can get back to their regularly scheduled programing.  Hopefully the Bucks can avoid any 20+ point runs by the opposition in this one.  What I’m most interested in seeing is how Redd looks after a few more days off and some time to work with Jennings and company on a more regular basis.  If Redd’s looking good that changes a lot of things for the Bucks.  But that’s a significant IF at this point.

Categories: Uncategorized

I watch the Milwaukee Bucks often and write about what I see…

10 Comments

  1. Gasol is a Spainsh guy and, I bet, Ily plays better against European-origined players, more focused, like he did against Nowitzki. So expect more in this matchup … *fingers crossed*

  2. http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=4748700

    Wow, this would be a great opportunity for the Bucks. Pairing Randolph with Jennings and Bogut would be a great nucleus to build around. And I think Skiles might be able to help his focus.

    What would the deal involve? Warrick? Alexander? Ridnour? GSW is stacked with swingmen and tweener guards and the Bucks lack a viable big man to trade… Ideas?

  3. JJ – Anything that serves to further motivate players is a good thing I suppose. If Euro’s get Ilya to go harder, I’m all for it. I’d be happy with another 15/8 night out of him though.

    B – Wishful thinking?

    NotJesus – I saw that article and was trying to think of ways the Bucks could get him. I don’t even know what the Warriors would want back they are such a mess. Typically you can see where a team has some leaks and match up what could plug those leaks, but the Warriors don’t have leaks, they have MASSIVE HOLES EVERYWHERE. How trading Randolph would help that is beyond me. They’re insane.

  4. via the ESPN trade machine, i worked this out:

    To GSW: Ilyasova, Warrick, and Elson
    To Bucks: Randolph and Claxton

    I’d do it, if i were the Bucks. Claxton’s contract is expiring.

    I’d do it if i were the Warriors. Elson and Warrick have expiring deals, and Ilyasova is a promising young prospect who plays Nellie-style ball.

    thoughts?

  5. I just feel like it’s impossible to know what the Warriors want or are thinking. They are insane. Randolph is probably worth more than another prospect at any rate.

  6. lakers fan here….your Bucks played a hell of a game. normally, i would be excited over a kobe game winner, but that 3 point play in overtime was just….wrong.

  7. Yeah, I’m also a Laker fan and that’s the first time I ever felt embarassed by a kobe game winner.

  8. You know?! Kobe is awesome, but that’s just frustrating as an NBA fan. We all want to see the league succeed, we all … you know what, check the recap I’ll have a lot to say about this. I’m glad to see that Bucks fans weren’t the only ones who saw that the way we did. Classy from you guys eric and J.D., you get gold stars.