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Andrew Bogut is out and replacement options are thin

| January 27, 2012

Category: Bucks Player Features

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Milwaukee's hopes may rest on Drew Gooden's wacky game. (AP Photo/Jeffrey Phelps)

We know Andrew Bogut is going to be out (UPDATE: We now know it will be 8-to-12 weeks too. Damn). His ankle won’t unfracture quickly. Whether or not this torpedoes Milwaukee’s already fragile season largely depends on who replaces the majority of Bogut’s 30 minutes each night.

The early candidate is Drew Gooden. He will likely get the start in Bogut’s spot against the Chicago Bulls on Friday and Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. For the time being, he’s Milwaukee’s best option for big minutes.

That isn’t saying much.

Last season, Gooden’s PER while playing the center position was 13.6, roughly six points lower than his PER at the power forward position. The numbers have remained consistent to last season this season. Gooden’s PER as a center this year is 13, while his PER at the four is 29. The smaller sample size for this season makes me hesitate a bit, but since they are consistent with last season, it seems to be a pattern worth recognizing as far as Gooden’s role on the Bucks is concerned, although Gooden did post an 18 PER while playing center with the Mavericks three seasons ago.

The aggressive, athletic Gooden can occasionally thrill, but he often seems to make the most simple parts of the game difficult. Many passes become no look ones. Pump fakes turn into foul drawing exhibitions. Suddenly, Gooden has developed a taste for the outside shot too, which is probably better than him shooting 22-foot jump shots, but isn’t an ideal shot for a starting center that has never demonstrated that range before.

An apparent general lack of attention to detail seems to make Gooden a less than ideal candidate as a back line defender. Simply, he isn’t the guy who erases the mistakes of his teammates. But if Gooden isn’t a perfect fit offensively and isn’t the defender Milwaukee thrives with, is there a better internal option to replace Bogut?

Nope.

Larry Sanders is a very good shot-blocker and very, very athletic. He can dunk as well as anyone on the team when he decides to dunk. This season he’s even been a bit of a creative passer. He still seems to struggle with his awareness and has bad hands though. Currently, Sanders is averaging 8.9 fouls per 36 minutes. He also turns the ball over on more possessions than he uses.

Ersan Ilyasova has bounced around Milwaukee’s lineups over the past three seasons. Sometimes he’s starting, sometimes he’s coming off the bench, sometimes he’s forced into the five role with a small lineup and sometimes he’s a natural fit at the four. Getting him just a bit of balance, some reliability in his role, seems like it should be a priority, even with Bogut out.

Ilyasova has consistently been the first forward off the bench since coming out of the starting lineup eight games ago and he’s averaged 8.5 points and 8.9 rebounds per game. He actually performed well at the center position last year, despite his apparently lack of size. His high effort, physical game likely helps him at the five.

Aside from Sanders and Ilyasova, Milwaukee has Jon Brockman (calm down) and Jon Leuer (good as a four, seems like a huge stretch as a five).

The pickings internally are slim. Externally, no one will stop talking about Joel Przybilla until he tells everyone on the record he’s done playing forever. Francisco “That’s fun to say” Elson has been signed by the Philadelphia 76ers. Dan Gadzuric is still available. I’m really writing these things. The D-Legue isn’t exactly brimming with center options either. Mikki Moore might be the best they have to offer, though there is a 7-foot-5 guy that blocks a lot of shots there.

That’s the situation right now. It’s Drew Gooden or bust, unless the Bucks can swing a trade.

Buckle up.

Jeremy Schmidt writes the Milwaukee Bucks blog Bucksketball.com. Follow him on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

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About the Author ()

Jeremy Schmidt writes the Milwaukee Bucks blog Bucksketball. He founded it in January of 2009 because he hated his job. It’s like basketball, but with Bucks instead of basket. I know ... I’m sorry. He might come off as a bit negative, but I'm really not so bad. He just wants the Bucks to succeed, so he points out areas where they are coming up short. Someone has got to do it and he's ornery and opinionated enough to take on that task. He isn't sure if this should be in third person or not. Contact him at Jeremy@Bucksketball.com if you must use e-mail.

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  1. Bulls-Bucks Preview » By The Horns | January 27, 2012
  1. JustinNixon says:

    God save us all, although I don’t hate the idea of Gadzuric.. At least he will put a body on someone

  2. MatthewSchwendinger says:

    Call Joel!!! Or maybe try to buy the rights/contract of this freakishly large Foster guy from Idaho.

  3. JustinNixon says:

    What about Kyrylo Fesenko?

  4. Teddddd says:

    guys look at the names being listed off here…Elson, Gadzuric, Fesenko, some D-League players. Is there really THAT little of faith in Drew Gooden and the Centers by committee?

  5. Wombat02 says:

    Why not just trial by fire Sanders for 10 games. Give him 30 mins and see if he can start pulling it together.

    • JustinNixon says:

      @Wombat02 30 minutes? Whoa… How about 20 minutes and hope his blocked shots exceed his turnovers

      • Wombat02 says:

        @JustinNixon I was more of proposing putting him in pressure cooker situation and see if it brings the best out of him. Until the Bucks have won more than 0 games without Bogut I think anything is fair game.

  6. Teddddd says:

    Word on the street is that the Hornets are benching Kaman to give the younger guys more playing time. Itd be nice to get him in a trade but he’d be difficult to acquire with the massive contract he has and the fact that he can’t be traded with a combination of players from the hornets. A 3 team deal would be tough too cuz the teams with cap room are in the Bucks division and probably dont want to do the Bucks any favors.

    • JustinNixon says:

      @Teddddd The only problem I have with the street report is that they don’t have any young talent at Power Forward or Center

      • Teddddd says:

        @JustinNixon Kaman has been playing PF and they want more minutes for Aminu, reports say there are no deals currently in place but that they are shopping Kaman

  7. MatthewSchwendinger says:

    What about that dude who’s never played in the NBA, we own the rights to him…he was apart of the Dooling trade.

    • MatthewSchwendinger says:

      Albert Miralles!! thats the guy…

      • JustinNixon says:

        @MatthewSchwendinger My gut tells that if he’a 29 and never played here, then he probably never will.. And it takes a while for Euros to understand the defensive concepts of the NBA.. That’s thinking outside the box though

        • MatthewSchwendinger says:

          @JustinNixon I suppose, but then why did they bother giving us his rights. Thats one thing I’ve never really understood about the NBA, D-league, and Euro players. How do team’s own the rights to someone if they’ll never play or only ever play in the D-league (plus not everyone is signed to a team on the D-league). Sorry, thats long-winded, I guess it was worth exhausting that option of ours. Call Joel!!