I have never liked Joakim Noah. Milwaukee Bucks at the Chicago Bulls

(AP Photo/Morry Gash)

This is a pretty easy preview. The Milwaukee Bucks should do the things they sucked at on Saturday better. Boom. I’ve saved you guys a few minutes of reading the next few paragraphs.

The two things the Bulls won overwhelmingly on Saturday: free throws and rebounding. They will not win either of these battles tonight. But they can limit the Bulls effectiveness on both fronts so that their superior shooting and ability to cause turnovers will win them the day.

There are two things keeping the Bucks from ever winning a free throw battle. First, Brandon Jennings distaste for taking contact has infected the entire roster. The second thing is that Larry Sanders is an important part of this team. They can stop fouling Rip Hamilton. Hamilton took ten free throws on against the Bucks which were as many free throw attempts the Bucks attempted. Hamilton is old and not very good anymore except he was open every other possession because Monta Ellis never had any idea where Hamilton was. If someone could just stand near Hamilton – playing defense is optional – just stand near him, that’d be great.

The rebounding issue is addressed simply by Samuel Dalembert starting again. The Bucks overall rebounding numbers aren’t impressive because when Dalembert is on the court, the Bucks eschew offensive rebounds. Below are the top two lineups Dalembert has played the most minutes in with statistics detailing the percentage of rebounds each lineup grabs.

Lineup OREB% DREB% REB%
Dalembert.Samuel – Dunleavy.Mike – Ellis.Monta – Ilyasova.Ersan – Jennings.Brandon

22.60%

79.20%

47.30%

Dalembert.Samuel – Ellis.Monta – Harris.Tobias – Ilyasova.Ersan – Jennings.Brandon

25.50%

75.90%

48.20%

The overall rebounding percentage isn’t very good, but the key against the Bulls is defensive rebounding percentage. That’s where Dalembert shines because any lineup with him in it grabs at least 3/4ths of all defensive rebounds. The Bucks only grabbed 60 percent of all defensive rebounds on Saturday – that was what decided the game.

Looking at the overall numbers, I would recommend that the Bucks forego all, but the easiest offensive rebounding opportunities. Here is the Bucks best defensive rebounding lineup.

Lineup OREB% DREB% REB%
Dunleavy.Mike – Ellis.Monta – Jennings.Brandon – Sanders.Larry – Udoh.Ekpe

8.30%

85.20%

49.00%

The cause-effect relationship between disregarding offensive rebounding to get more defensive rebounds isn’t thin. But I believe that the Bucks big men are in better position to grab defensive rebounds if their big men are set on defense.

Happy Ian/Sad Ian

On one hand, I like that the team is losing because now we can all have a discussion about what this team actually is as opposed to a discussion based on smoke and mirrors. On the other hand, the Bucks are losing.

Not #Flexing                  

Henson grabs 18 rebounds one night, then gets a minute of play the next. I don’t really care what Henson’s minutes are, just keep them consistent. Normally I’m against discipline in all its forms, but young men need routine. I say that as a young man who has no routine and is a complete troglodyte.

Ekpe Udoh All-Star Watch

Udoh grabbed 8 rebounds in 19 minutes against the Bulls. He had an overall rebounding rate of 21.5 which was second that night only to Carlos Boozer.

One more thing, on Twitter, I’ve started calling Udoh my brolo (Bros Only Live Once or a bro/cholo combination). Yes, I watch The League.

Prediction: Chicago is overrated as a team, city, and band.

Categories: Game Previews

Ian Segovia has been watching the Milwaukee Bucks for several years and…

6 Comments

  1. Joakim Noah is the spawn of a Swedish Supermodel yet that dude is one of the more unfortunate looking individuals I think I have ever seen…genetics are funny sometimes.

    Spot on prediction as well the Windy City Blows

  2. Chicago as a “food style” is all that crap-hole has going for it. Also, I’m slightly ashamed to say I had to look up what a troglodyte is, but have since decided to introduce it into my spectacular vernacular. Yes I listen to Bustah Rhymes, and I also watch The League. No, we are not Eskimo bros.

  3. i hope some of this article had some severe sarcasm in it. Larry Sanders is an important part of this team? I like larry. he plays hard and with emotion. but if larry sanders was in a suit and drew gooden had his uni on. i can assure you the bucks would be just as fine if not better. Larry lacks intelligence on the offensive end, and constantly is shooting the 20 foot jumper which is not in his bag of tricks. on the defensive end he is solid, but like Udoh, racks up fouls faster than rebounds! nothing udoh/dalembert cant do. Gooden NEEDS MINUTES. He has put up numbers every year no matter what team he plays on. This guy played out of position on a non playoff contending team for us all of last year while being outsized and pushed around and still put up good numbers and minutes. How do we reward him? by paying him 6 million this year to dress like skiles (both look crisp and fresh in those suits) and sit on the sidelibe.

    2ndly. Udoh all star watch? gimme a break guy. Like Larry he has his moments but thinks he is much more gifted on the offensive end than he really is. I mean dont get me wrong. i am a fan of all 15 men on the roster (even alando tucker still) but i mean lets be real here guy. Sanders and Udoh are just fillin space until the FUTCHA!(John Henson) is ready to take on the roll behind ilyasova.

    • I think your thinking of last year’s larry. this year larry has been smart and efficient and taking it incide. also, gooden is still a quality player but doesn’t have the fastbreak and passing skills that this team thrives on.

      • true. larry has definitely progressed comming into this year. but i think thats because if he didn’t he would be playing in the D-League. He has been getting it inside but everytime he touches the ball outside the paint, he starts to put it on the floor, and that scares me more than watching Julius Peppers comming untouched at aaron rodgers. Larry is a presence on the court, but not an overly valuable asset to this team. Hes made strides and deserves credit and minutes i wont take that away from him. But, He makes a great play, then goes to the other side of the court and makes a bonehead play, or starts crying to the refs and gets a technical and gives the other team free points and possession. Watch the little things on the court. If larry has 10 pts 8 rebs and 3 blocks in a game, the stats make him look like he was a huge precense. but its the little things that i look at that drives me nuts about larry. When hes playing defense, the offensive player will box him out of the lane leaving easy baskets. He’ll over pursue help on the top of the key when his man sets a screen, leaving him a wide open cut to the hoop. Id rather see the other team take a 20 foot jump shot, then a cutting PF with an easy dunk. then when he’s on the block he tends to lack helpside defense or have to much helpside d and hack the guy instead of just altering his shot. No in between, and i think that is where dalembert needs to keep taking larry under his wing. He also tends to look lost on the offensive end. I’ve never seen a big man (besides dirk) receive passes at the top of the key, turn his back to the basket and dribble out of control like that, only to shoot a turnaround 18 footer that is so not close to going in the ball almost misses the floor..

  4. that being said. other then Udoh’s big block and Go ahead basket (how did that craziness go in???) last night, I have thought that Larry has overall played better than Udoh, (and most of our bigs) this year. Im not trying to take a shot at larry. I’ve been one of the only believers since we drafted him at 14 (15?). He has filled the void at backup Center very nicely and theres only so much you can ask out of a 23 year old 3rd year player. Im just saying theres always room for improvement and hopefully he continues to grow.

    Great win for the bucks after i had almost given up hope. Lets keep it rollin boys!! When was the last time we heard the bucks had a game in a half lead on the division heading into December? I know its early, but other then the loss to Charlotte, the bucks have looked like a team thats semi-serious this year. They took Miami to OT in Miami , with D-wade back. I can feel the buzz about this team in the air. and look forward to watching them play ball in late april and into May