Bucksketball Podcast

Buying or selling on the Milwaukee Bucks roster a third of the way through the season

| December 28, 2012

Category: Bucks Player Features

Share

I’m buying Sanders and Ellis this season. (Photo by Gary Dineen/NBAE via Getty Images)

We’re about a third of the way through the season. The trading deadline is just over a month and a half away. Today, ESPN’s 5-on-5 was about five teams that could be buyers or sellers. The Bucks were one of the teams. I predicted they’d be buyers based on the organizations patterns over the past few years.

It’s probably unlikely that the Bucks will be involved in a major deal, but that doesn’t mean they can’t make some kind of move. With a deep front court and some issues in the back court, the Bucks are in a position to fix the imbalance of their current roster.

Let’s take a trip through that roster, buy or sell style.

Obviously, I’ve made it clear that I’m in favor of selling anyone on the roster at this point. But that’s not going to happen. I’ve tried to approach this from a more realistic standpoint when thinking about who is most likely to be dealt this season.

Brandon Jennings: Buy. They’ve hitched their wagon to Jennings and Monta Ellis. It would be as drastic a departure from a plan as I’ve ever seen for the Bucks to move Jennings or Ellis in season. Personally, I’m selling on both, just to get something back for them while they have value and are under contract, but that’s not the current reality for the Bucks.

Monta Ellis: Buy. He’s had a nice three game stretch and sometimes seems like he’s a better passer than Jennings, crazy as that may sound. He’s potentially in the last year of his contract, which always makes a player a bit more likely to be moved, but it’s hard to believe the Bucks would dump Ellis and make another franchise altering in-season move.

Ersan Ilyasova: Sell. He’s rebounded a bit over the past month, but Ilyasova is always going to struggle to live up to his lofty contract. Other teams may still have visions of last season dancing in their head and could potentially be talked into Ilyasova at the right price. If Milwaukee could get back some value for its back court, moving Ilyasova wouldn’t be unwise. But the Bucks can hardly afford to lose his shooting (inconsistent as it might be) without getting a 3-point threat back.

Mike Dunleavy: Buy. Like so many others in the organization, Dunleavy is in the last year of his contract, but that shouldn’t impact his standing too much. He’s crucial to the Bucks playoff hopes as the only reliable shooter Milwaukee has. He’s sure to be a sought after commodity  come summer after two fairly healthy and very productive seasons, so it’ll be tough for the Bucks to bring him back. But they’ll live with the loss of Dunleavy over the summer as they keep pushing for a playoff spot this year.

Larry Sanders: Buy. Duh.

Luc Mbah a Moute: Buy. So versatile and getting better as a player. He knows his strengths and weaknesses so well and seems like he takes a small step forward every year. He didn’t get much of a chance to work out over the summer thanks to a knee injury, but he still came back a better player. You get the feeling he’s one of the last players Milwaukee would want to part with.

Ekpe Udoh: Sell. The Bucks are stocked with young big men and while Ekpe is a useful defender and steady rotation player, they could get buy with Ilyasova or Luc Mbah a Moute at the four next to Sanders or Samuel Dalembert, assuming he ever plays again. Udoh has value thanks to an affordable contract and a rare blend of youth and exceptional awareness. He could play the same role in a trade that he did last season – the piece that pushes a deal from “maybe” to “absolutely.”

Samuel Dalembert: Sell. There’s been little talk about the motivation for Dalembert’s extended stay on the bench, but he sure fits the bill of a player who is very available. A benching by Scott Skiles has done little to stop other teams in the past from inquiring about the likes of Corey Maggette or Stephen Jackson and surely seems like it should get the ball rolling on a potential Dalembert deal.

John Henson: Buy. He isn’t playing now, but he’s still a big part of the Bucks future. It’s fair to assume the only way he gets dealt is in something major.

Drew Gooden: Sell. He’s playing a bit more these days, but Gooden’s situation has all of the characteristics of a very available player. Buried deep on a bench. A veteran that can still produce but is overpaid.

Doron Lamb: Sell. The Bucks moved a guard from Kentucky too early a few years ago and watched Jodie Meeks develop into a 3-point threat they surely could have used this season. Milwaukee courted him over the summer and saw him accept an offer from the Lakers for less money in pursuit of a championship. Moving Lamb may be that same short sighted sort of thinking, but it seems unlikely he’ll ever be more than a role playing guard. That kind of player is replaceable and teams are always looking for young assets in trades. He could very well be a necessary throw in.

Tobias Harris: Buy. Same as Henson.

Joel Przybilla: Sell. It seems like he could get dropped any day if the Bucks wanted to pursue an available veteran guard. Przybilla was more insurance than integral coming into this season and it looks like the Bucks got enough development from young players to keep him on the far reaches of the bench.

Marquis Daniels: Buy. He’s on a deal that is so inexpensive that virtually everything he does is out-producing it. It’s hard to want to get rid of those guys. If the Bucks did make moves, it wouldn’t be a stretch to envision Daniels taking a backseat down the stretch. That’s probably the role he should be in on a really good team at this point.

Beno Udrih: Buy. He’s made noise about his minutes before and as the third guard in a three guard rotation, he wasn’t seeing all that many before his injury last month. He could get more in the coming weeks. At the very least, it’s tough to picture the Bucks without him, considering how badly Lamb struggled to handle the third guard duties. But his deal is for a good amount of money and he would likely be needed if the Bucks were going to make a run at a big money player.

Tags:

About the Author ()

Jeremy Schmidt writes the Milwaukee Bucks blog Bucksketball. He founded it in January of 2009 because he hated his job. It’s like basketball, but with Bucks instead of basket. I know ... I’m sorry. He might come off as a bit negative, but I'm really not so bad. He just wants the Bucks to succeed, so he points out areas where they are coming up short. Someone has got to do it and he's ornery and opinionated enough to take on that task. He isn't sure if this should be in third person or not. Contact him at Jeremy@Bucksketball.com if you must use e-mail.

Comments (12)

Trackback URL | Comments RSS Feed

  1. Bizzucks says:

    Agreed except on Lamb. You speak of Dunleavy being the only consistent shooter on the team, and that it will be hard to keep him after the season. This is where Lamb could totally come in handy, even with a miracle Dunleavy staying put. Of course, this is dependant on Lamb shooting better, but he’s got a good stroke and that should figure itself out.

  2. Spaghetti Cat says:

    I see the Bucks making one deal this year giving up one of their expendable fortcourt players( most likely Udoh or Dalembert) for a three-point shooting guard.

  3. Ben says:

    I could see a Dalembert for Courtney Lee trade happening.

  4. sillybilly says:

    I dont have much to justify it this year but Im saying keep Ersan. He can play like he did last year, he started to show it in December. He could be really valuable with some better distributors in the backcourt, and as Larry starts to develop more of an offensive post presence Ers will be really valuable for spreading the floor.
    He lacks agressiveness at times but I think his ability to play within his role on the team and out-hustle virtually everyone on the court make him a valuable guy for on court execution and overall morale.
    He’s a very expensive role player who’s offensive contribution is very dependent on the back-court facilitating opportunities for him.

    • sillybilly says:

      Like how many of Ers’ makes don’t come off of assists or tip-ins/put-backs? Thats really all the guy does offensively. He doesn’t create his own shot much (although at 6’11 he’s probably capable) and I think management knew that when they signed him. I think the right situation for him would be playing alongside some really capable scorers and just acting as outlet and garbageman. On a really good team (Lakers?) he might be worth the dough.

  5. Justin says:

    Brandon Jennings. Buy.. not a surprise because I’ve been one of his biggest defenders on Bucksketball
    Monta Ellis. Sell.. not because of what he is contributing.. but again, like I’ve said in other posts, I believe he is going to opt out this Summer and leave
    Larry!!Larry!! Purchase 1000 shares!! I knew Milwaukee was an Indian name, but I wonder what Shaman that Larry went to see to increase his mojo.. I have been a one of the biggest LS detractors and am so glad to have been wrong
    Ersan. Sell.. like most I believed that he played himself into overvalued status and was never gonna live up to it.. he can be a terrific bench performer, but now we have almost $32 million worth of bench players

    And I’m buying Drew Gooden.. a one-way ticket out of town

  6. John Proctor says:

    Sell, sell, sell… at least Jennings and Ellis at this point. They’re winning games but it’s honestly not that enjoyable to watch. I can’t stand watching them brick their way to 20% shooting type games. Just sick and tired of 20 foot shot brick layers in the NBA, they’re a dime a dozen. I’ll give Jennings a little more time, but after our short lived playoff run I honestly could care less what happens to Ellis, and losing Jennings may not be a bad move for the future.

  7. Bill says:

    Looking back from halfway point. I think, Monta is a sell, because he has been growing interest as a point from many teams. Ersan, buy IF we can somehow get a more consistent 2 guard for Monta. (Again, Aaron Afflalo comes to mind, he is a system 2 guard, and I believe in Skiles system 100%) What to sell on? Sanders at the 4. I believe Henson, should be at the 5 and sanders should be allowed to handle big 4′s and the wing very well if you ask me, giving Henson (who is a very good post shot blocker) the 0-14 foot game, as most 4′s now are choosing the mid to long range game or are just very athletic. Henson is athletic, but he is not as fast as Larry, his instincts to me are better for a rookie year(Henson). But I believe because of his instincts he could surpass Larry in over all inside defense. My proof, would be Larry’s ability to foul every single person going to the rim. You can’t be fouling guards that are acrobatic enough to adjust their shot and get an and 1 off your foul. I had faith in Larry since day one. But I knew his limitations, he does have a lot of stupid fouls. He probably always will. He’s too aggressive as a shot blocker not to, and as a rebounder. He commits many over the back fouls compared to the average rebounder. Point in all this. Larry, he can defend the wing, he can even defend guards when he wants to. He’s so fast so agile, he is our best bet on covering floor spreading 4′s in the long run. Henson can handle those guards, he’s very smart and won’t create a lot of and 1 situations. Henson will bulk up to 245-250 I bet within a few years. Larry will not be as “heavy” as Henson, but he will still have the amazing reach and athletic ability. I think limiting both of these men to 25-30 minutes switching out depending on team/assignment, could be very lethal, progress them both slowly. Retain BJ OR MONTA, either way retain one of the two, both to me at the point would be fine. Find ways to keep Ersan at the 4 as a sixth man type of role, or trade him for talent/high picks.