And who says the Milwaukee Bucks don’t have a plan? As JC Brooks & the Uptown Sound can confirm, they have a plan and they are well on track.
The deal could be completed as soon as today, league sources said.
Contract matters here. Obviously the fewer the years and the fewer the dollars, the better this thing looks. So no need to strap fireworks to yourself tonight just yet. That being understood, we have to look at this from both sides.
First, some pluses:
– They could do worse. Mayo isn’t a bad player. He’s not a franchise changing guard by any means, but he’s a capable reserve for sure. He made better than 40% of his 3-pointers last season and for his career has connected on 38.2% from deep. That’s pretty good.
– Also, Mayo’s 44.9% from the field and 55.6% TS% last season blew away Milwaukee’s starting back court. Yes, that’s because Milwaukee’s starting back court was historically awful at shooting the basketball, but at the very least, those are acceptable league average numbers from Mayo. His shooting numbers from last season are comparable to Mike Dunleavy’s last season
– Two seasons ago he ranked 59th in the league in points per possession in isolation. Last season, he ranked 16th. Watching some of his clips reminds me of Monta Ellis in terms of shot-selection, except his shots go in more often than Monta’s would. He has no issue at all shooting after dribbling many times, which, again, isn’t that big of a deal if he’s making the shots.
– Mayo is just 25-years-old. While he hasn’t really improved since his first year in the league, with the exception of some bright flashes early last season, he’s still young enough that he theoretically could become a better player than he is right now. So the player he is in year X (not sure how long yet) of this contract may be better than the player he is in year one.
Now, some minuses:
– As noted before, Mayo essentially produced at a rate very similar to Dunleavy last season. He will (probably) make at least twice what Mike Dunleavy will make this season. Not ideal to lose a Dunleavy and gain a Mayo from a value perspective. I should also note that Mayo doesn’t have the ability to move the ball or come off screens as effectively as Dunleavy. He’s Dunleavy without the things that made Dunleavy fun to watch and especially productive.
– 6-foot-4 with limited athleticism won’t fill Bucks fans with enthusiasm either. Mayo has some quickness and he can generally hang with point guards and most two guards on the defensive end, but he has a questionable defensive effort reputation and lacks the body to be a great defender.
– He also isn’t that guy the Bucks have been looking for to get to the rim on a consistent basis either. Possibly because of what he lacks from an explosion and size standpoint, Mayo has never attempted more than 3.4 free throws per game over the course of a season.
– I know Ellis drove us crazy with all the missing, but there were the moments where he would drive and dish with great success. Don’t expect as much of that from Mayo. He doesn’t have the vision or the creativity in traffic that Ellis had. Mayo has never had an assist rate that’s cracked 20%, whereas Ellis hasn’t had one under 20% since his fourth season.