Bucksketball.com: A Milwaukee Bucks Blog - Part 3

Talking Bucks-Lakers with Andy Kamenetzky

January 28th, 2012 Jeremy Schmidt No comments

A special thanks to Andy Kamenetzky from ESPN’s Land o’ Lakers Lakers blog for stopping by to answer some questions I had regarding Milwaukee’s opponent this evening. Check out Land o’ Lakers and see a few answers I had for him as well.

1. He’s smart enough to do it, but will Kobe be willing to let Gasol and Bynum dominate the Bucks?

Given Gasol’s exceptionally aggressive nature Wednesday against the Clippers, I’d like to think Kobe will try to keep that going, for the sake of Pau and the matchup. And he’s already praised Bynum’s “thirst to score.” And for all the talk about Kobe’s high shot count this season, he’s done a pretty fine job moving the ball around. But as is always the case with Kobe involving teammates, there’s a leash, and it can be frustratingly short. Kobe’s natural desire to take games over, even when not always necessary, can also equal big men receiving too few touches over stretches.

But in fairness to Kobe, there are kinks being ironed out in Mike Brown’s offense, one of them being Gasol’s role. Pau’s number hasn’t been called enough by the coach, as opposed to Bryant. There’s also an onus on Pau to seek out more scoring opportunities with the ball in his hands, even if he’s theoretically working as a facilitator on a particular set.

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Bucks Inexplicably Only Lose By 7

January 27th, 2012 Ian Segovia 3 comments
Milwaukee Bucks 100 Final

Recap | Box Score

107 Chicago Bulls
Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, SF 12 MIN | 2-5 FG | 0-0 FT | 0 REB | 0 AST | 4 PTS | -6

I don’t know where LRMAM belongs on this team. He definitely belongs somewhere, right? Without Bogut, the Bucks can’t afford Moute’s weak offense and the best offensive options for the power forward and wing spots are clear.

Drew Gooden, PF 36 MIN | 6-14 FG | 10-10 FT | 15 REB | 6 AST | 23 PTS | +1

I look at his stats and then I think about what I saw and then my brain hurts. No matter how I slice it, Gooden was an offensive force. He was wild though: looking unruly on his drives to the basket. Plus his passes are always just a bit off. But it isn’t offense that he needs to replace. He has to replace Bogut’s all-world defense. For that he is woefully incapable. Sure, let’s give him a pass today because he was protecting the rim against Derrick Rose and that’s a problem for 98% of the league. But Gooden and the other big men need to reliably guard the paint on their own. Often the wings had to swarm into the paint which left easy passes to make to open shooters from the post.

Brandon Jennings, PG 37 MIN | 10-22 FG | 1-1 FT | 7 REB | 3 AST | 25 PTS | -1

Jennings was all fire in the first quarter. After that he did what stat geeks like to call ‘regressing to the mean.’ He was unaggressive in the second and third quarters and ineffective in the fourth. He’s going to lead the Bucks to a lot of close losses. Jennings wasn’t looking for teammates as much as he usually has this season. Perhaps he feels a lone without his buddy Bogut. The pair was looking awfully good together before the injury.

Jon Leuer, F 20 MIN | 9-11 FG | 0-0 FT | 5 REB | 0 AST | 19 PTS | 0

It took a Bogut injury and Ilyasova foul trouble, but Leuer finally got back on the floor after he was benched for no discernibly good reason at all. The dude just knows how to ball: has a wonderful understanding of floor spacing and how to cut. Plus he has a swell jumper.

Three Things We Saw

  1. The Bucks best opportunities to score at the rim are timely cuts and penetration, mainly by Jennings. Leuer, Tobias Harris and Shaun Livingston seem to have the best post moves. Leur and Livingston aren’t strong enough to establish effectively deep position and Harris doesn’t play enough.
  2. 22 assists simply isn’t enough for this offense to thrive. They also need five guys to get four assists or more every game. Teamwork and ball movement is what’s going to get group through this season.
  3. The Bulls didn’t do it tonight, but a better three-point shooting team is absolutely going to make the Bucks pay for their close outs. And it’s going to be soon and often.

Andrew Bogut is out and replacement options are thin

January 27th, 2012 Jeremy Schmidt 17 comments

Milwaukee's hopes may rest on Drew Gooden's wacky game. (AP Photo/Jeffrey Phelps)

We know Andrew Bogut is going to be out (UPDATE: We now know it will be 8-to-12 weeks too. Damn). His ankle won’t unfracture quickly. Whether or not this torpedoes Milwaukee’s already fragile season largely depends on who replaces the majority of Bogut’s 30 minutes each night.

The early candidate is Drew Gooden. He will likely get the start in Bogut’s spot against the Chicago Bulls on Friday and Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. For the time being, he’s Milwaukee’s best option for big minutes.

That isn’t saying much.

Last season, Gooden’s PER while playing the center position was 13.6, roughly six points lower than his PER at the power forward position. The numbers have remained consistent to last season this season. Gooden’s PER as a center this year is 13, while his PER at the four is 29. The smaller sample size for this season makes me hesitate a bit, but since they are consistent with last season, it seems to be a pattern worth recognizing as far as Gooden’s role on the Bucks is concerned, although Gooden did post an 18 PER while playing center with the Mavericks three seasons ago.

The aggressive, athletic Gooden can occasionally thrill, but he often seems to make the most simple parts of the game difficult. Many passes become no look ones. Pump fakes turn into foul drawing exhibitions. Suddenly, Gooden has developed a taste for the outside shot too, which is probably better than him shooting 22-foot jump shots, but isn’t an ideal shot for a starting center that has never demonstrated that range before.

An apparent general lack of attention to detail seems to make Gooden a less than ideal candidate as a back line defender. Simply, he isn’t the guy who erases the mistakes of his teammates. But if Gooden isn’t a perfect fit offensively and isn’t the defender Milwaukee thrives with, is there a better internal option to replace Bogut?

Nope.

Read more…

Bogut Out Indefinitely

January 26th, 2012 Ian Segovia 16 comments

Andrew Bogut rolled his ankle upon falling on Houston point guard Kyle Lowry in the Bucks 105 – 99 victory on Wednesday.

John Hammond Announcement on the Bucks Twitter page:

Andrew returned to Milwaukee this morning to be evaluated by Bucks orthopaedic physician, and to undergo a MRI exam on his left ankle. The results of the MRI identified a left ankle fracture which will keep Bogut out indefinitely

Fracture’s are often a bigger nuisance than a clean break.

Ugh.

This season, the Bucks are 0-4 without Bogut.

Ugh. Read more…

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Buck Hits: a win in exchange for an injury

January 26th, 2012 Brian Matzat 2 comments

The Milwaukee Bucks were feeling all kinds of 2009-2010 last night. Losing Andrew Bogut to injury. Making shots. Winning. It was quite the sight to behold. Enter today’s Buck Hits.

Recap

01/23/12 Bucks v. Hawks

Box Score

Analysis: JSOnlineBrewhoop, Behind the Buck Pass

01/25/12 Bucks @ Rockets

Box Score

Analysis: JSOnlineBrewhoopBehind the Buck Pass

Power Rankings

Marc Stein: 17
John Hollinger: 19
NBA.com: 17

Coverage

Michael Hunt of the Journal Sentinel has an answer for the Bucks’ struggles: Amnesty Stephen Jackson. IF the Bucks wanted to ditch the Jackson experiment, I would bet that they could somehow trade him, getting something back in return rather than paying him to sit at home.

Great breakdown of the starting lineups the Bucks have trotted out thusfar over at Brewhoop.

Bad news for the Bucks: Bogut is expecting the worst with his ankle injury. ”I’m not optimistic. With my history of unlucky injuries I’m hoping this one can do me a favor and (go away). Most of my injuries are unfortunate things and this goes in the same boat as that. It’s frustrating,” Bogut moped. Best case, according to Bogut, is “hopefully it would be a week thing. We’ll see what happens.” One week means no Bogut for games against Chicago, the Lakers, Detroit, and Miami. And if he misses ten days, you can add another meeting with Detroit and Chicago to that list.

More bad news for the Bucks: they’re still the least valuable franchise in the NBA, according to Forbes.

Brian Matzat is a contributor to Bucksketball.com. Follow him on Twitter. Then become a fan of Bucksketball on Facebook (click in the sidebar).

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